Moscow Responds at the EU's Plan to Loan Frozen Russian Assets to Ukraine

Ukraine is running out of financial resources to sustain its military and economy afloat, after close to 48 months of the ongoing invasion by Moscow.

From the EU's perspective, the solution to filling Kyiv's budget hole of €135.7bn for the next two years is found in Moscow's immobilized funds sitting in Belgian bank Euroclear, and European Union officials hope to finalize the plan at their EU leaders' conference next week.

Russian officials warn the EU plan would be an illegal seizure, and Russia's central bank announced on Friday it was initiating legal action against Euroclear in a Moscow court prior to a conclusive plan is made.

'Appropriate' to Utilize Russia's Funds, Say Ukraine and the EU

Overall, Russia has roughly €210bn of its funds frozen in the EU, and €185bn of that is held by Euroclear.

The EU and Ukraine maintain that those funds should be used to rebuild what Russia has laid waste to: EU officials terms it a "reparations loan" and has come up with a plan to prop up Ukraine's economy to the tune of €90bn.

"It is only just that Moscow's blocked funds should be used to rebuild what Russia has destroyed – and that those funds then becomes ours," states Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

Chancellor Friedrich Merz argues the assets will "help Ukraine to protect itself successfully against any future Russian attacks".

Moscow's lawsuit was expected in Brussels. But it is not only Moscow that is dissatisfied.

The Belgian government is concerned it will be burdened by an huge bill if it all goes wrong, and Euroclear head Valérie Urbain warns using the assets could "destabilise the global financial architecture".

Euroclear also has an estimated €16-17bn frozen in Russia.

The leader of Belgium Bart de Wever has presented the EU with a series of "logical, sensible, and warranted conditions" before he will accept the reparations plan, and he has left open the possibility of legal action if it "poses significant risks" for his country.

Explaining the EU's Strategy?

The EU is working to the wire ahead of next Thursday's summit to come up with a arrangement that Belgium can agree to.

So far the EU has held off using the assets themselves directly but since last year has directed the "excess income" from them to Ukraine. In 2024 that amounted to €3.7bn. Juridically, using the interest is seen as less risky as Russia is subject to sanctions and the returns are not Russian sovereign property.

But international military aid for Ukraine has declined sharply in 2025, and Europe has struggled to compensate for the gap left by the US decision to virtually halt funding Ukraine under President Donald Trump.

There are presently two EU proposals designed to furnishing Ukraine with €90bn, to finance a majority of its budgetary necessities.

  • One is to secure the capital on capital markets, backed by the EU budget as a guarantee. This is Belgium's favored solution but it needs a consensus by EU leaders and that would be difficult when Hungary and Slovakia are against funding Ukraine's military.
  • That leaves lending Ukraine cash from the Moscow's immobilized capital, which were at first held in securities but have now mostly been converted into cash. That capital is an asset of Euroclear held in the European Central Bank.

The EU's executive accepts Belgium has valid worries and claims it is convinced it has dealt with them.

The scheme is for Belgium to be safeguarded with a guarantee applying to all the €210bn of Russian assets in the EU.

Should Euroclear face a financial hit of its own assets in Russia, the shortfall would be covered from assets belonging to Russia's own settlement agency which are in the EU.

If Russia went after Belgium itself, any judgment by a Russian court would not be recognized in the EU.

As an important step, EU ambassadors are poised to endorse on Friday to permanently block Russia's central bank assets held in Europe for the foreseeable future.

Heretofore they have had to vote unanimously every six months to extend the freeze, which could have meant a repeated risk to Belgium.

The EU ambassadors are expected to use an special provision under Article 122 of the EU Treaties so the assets continue to be immobilized as long as an "direct danger to the financial well-being of the union" continues.

The Reasons Belgium is Remains Convinced

Brussels is insistent it remains a strong supporter of Ukraine, but perceives regulatory pitfalls in the plan and fears being shouldering the consequences if things fail.

A usually divided political landscape in this case has rallied behind Prime Minister Bart de Wever, who is being pressured from fellow EU leaders.

"Belgium has a modest-sized economy. Belgian GDP is about €565bn – consider if it would need to bear a €185bn bill," says Veerle Colaert, expert in financial law at KU Leuven University.

While the EU might be able to obtain enough guarantees for the loan itself, Belgium fears an further exposure of being exposed to extra fines or liabilities.

Prof Colaert also argues the requirement for Euroclear to provide a loan to the EU would violate EU banking regulations.

"Lenders need to adhere to capital and liquidity requirements and shouldn't put all their eggs in one basket. Now the EU is telling Euroclear to do just that.

"Why do we have these bank rules? It's because we want banks to be stable. And if things fail it would fall to Belgium to rescue Euroclear. That's an additional reason why it's so vital for Belgium to get absolute protections for Euroclear."

EU Leaders In a Difficult Position from Multiple Fronts

The situation is urgent, caution seven EU member states including those bordering Russia such as the Baltics, Finland and Poland. They believe the frozen assets plan is "a economically realistic and politically realistic solution".

"It's a matter of destiny for us," states leading German conservative MP Norbert Röttgen. "If the plan collapses, I don't know what we'll do next. That's why we have to finalize the deal in a week's time".

Although Russia is insistent its money should not be touched, there are additional apprehensions among European figures that the US may want to deploy Russia's frozen billions for another purpose, as part of its own peace initiative.

Zelensky has indicated Ukraine is coordinating with Europe and the US on a reconstruction fund, but he is also aware the US has been holding discussions with Russia about future co-operation.

A preliminary version of the US peace plan suggested $100bn of Russia's frozen assets being used by the US for reconstruction, with the US {taking|receiving

Gregory Cowan
Gregory Cowan

A gaming industry analyst with over a decade of experience in casino operations and slot machine technology.